Up for re-election, Chancellor Angela Merkel, right, has been cautious with economic reforms.
By CARTER DOUGHERTY
FRANKFURT - Farhad Farassat, a Munich-based entrepreneur, blames fickle banks for his difficulty getting a loan. But, like many Germans, his problem may be largely political.
Mr. Farassat tried to borrow 900,000 euros, or about $1.25 million, to keep his computer chip manufacturer, based just outside Munich, afloat. But last April, the bank he has been using for 17 years balked.
“The managers hid from us, Mr. Farassat said. When he finally spoke to them they told him “it just would not work.
Germany, the largest economy in Europe, is showing signs of being an unfortunate example of what happens when a country does not move quickly to deal with an embattled banking system as lending dries up. And many experts blame the German government’s refusal to force a restructuring onto its financial system.
With national elections nearing, Chancellor Angela Merkel has tiptoed around the hard choices needed to recapitalize and restructure the banking system, experts and analysts said. The result, they fear, will be a longer recession in Germany, where the economy is expected to shrink by at least 6 percent this year, and Germany’s export-driven economy may lose out when the rest of the world gets back to business.
“The problem is going to come when we want to get out of the crisis, said Klaus Zimmermann, head of the German Institute for Economic Research in Berlin. “The banking sector has to be there and be healthy. And the banks won’t be able to participate in the process.
Germany lies at the heart of a Europe that generally has been slower to clean up its financial system than the United States, according to the International Monetary Fund. In its recent Global Financial Stability report, the I.M.F. pointed out that capital ratios among banks in the 16-nation euro area were 7.3 percent at the end of 2008, compared with 10.4 percent in the United States.
“As a whole Europe is simply not tackling the banking problem, said Simon Tilford, chief economist at the Center for European Reform in London and a Germany expert. “Germany is the most worrisome case, and denial of problems has been more pronounced there than elsewhere.
Banks have fought the notion of a widespread credit crisis by pointing to data showing continued growth in lending in Germany. Data from the Bundesbank, Germany’s central bank, for example, shows that the volume of new short-term loans - those extended for up to a year - grew by 15.9 percent in May compared with the same month last year.
But lenders have pulled back sharply on larger loans at longer maturities, the statistics show. In May, the volume of new loans for up to five years fell 32.7 percent compared with the same month in 2008.
That breeds immense frustration among German companies. After the free fall in the world economy early this year, many want to plan for the upswing, but feel starved of credit.
“It’s pretty clear that the banks are turning the screws, said Hanns- Peter Ohl, a director of VDMA, an association of machine-tool makers in Bavaria.
Lars Hofer, a spokesman for the German Association of Banks, did not dispute that longer-term loans were harder to grant, but blamed it on the general financial turbulence.
“There are fewer syndicates for loans, and a weak long-term financing system, he said.
Unlike the United States, Britain and France, Germany made government recapitalization voluntary last fall; most private sector banks declined to take part.
“What the government has done was much delayed, said Gernot Nerb, an economist at the Ifo Institute in Munich. “And what they agreed on was the least-common denominator of the various interests at hand.
In her bid to win re-election in the September 27 election, Chancellor Merkel, a conservative, is angling to ditch her unwieldy coalition with the leftist Social Democrats in favor of the centrist Free Democrats. That means balancing fixes for the economic crisis with Germans’ well-known aversion to debt.
The result has been a tendency to emphasize the foreign nature of the crisis, despite Germany’s own contribution to it. “It makes political sense for Merkel to play down the structural problems in Germany and play up the crisis as an Anglo-Saxon creation, Mr. Tilford said.
댓글 안에 당신의 성숙함도 담아 주세요.
'오늘의 한마디'는 기사에 대하여 자신의 생각을 말하고 남의 생각을 들으며 서로 다양한 의견을 나누는 공간입니다. 그러나 간혹 불건전한 내용을 올리시는 분들이 계셔서 건전한 인터넷문화 정착을 위해 아래와 같은 운영원칙을 적용합니다.
자체 모니터링을 통해 아래에 해당하는 내용이 포함된 댓글이 발견되면 예고없이 삭제 조치를 하겠습니다.
불건전한 댓글을 올리거나, 이름에 비속어 및 상대방의 불쾌감을 주는 단어를 사용, 유명인 또는 특정 일반인을 사칭하는 경우 이용에 대한 차단 제재를 받을 수 있습니다. 차단될 경우, 일주일간 댓글을 달수 없게 됩니다.
명예훼손, 개인정보 유출, 욕설 등 법률에 위반되는 댓글은 관계 법령에 의거 민형사상 처벌을 받을 수 있으니 이용에 주의를 부탁드립니다.
Close
x