A worker at an Embraer plant in Brazil. The aircraft company spends $45,000 on each student’s training in its engineering program.

By ANDREW DOWNIE

SAO PAULO, Brazil - For almost any nation other than China or India, achieving more than 5 percent growth a year is hard. Doing it without skilled labor is even harder.
But that is the challenge facing Brazil, the B in the BRIC economies - Brazil, Russia, India and China.
After years of boom and bust, the administration of President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is projecting a period of sustained growth, with the gross domestic product increasing 5 percent a year, from now to 2010, and about 3 and 4 percent annually for the decade after.
But many companies and economists, including some inside the government, say the dearth of highly skilled labor, particularly engineers and tradesmen, will jeopardize those goals, and Brazil’s economic and political rise.
“The lack of availability of technical ability may be a constraint on growth, no doubt about it, said Jose Sergio Gabrielli, president of Petrobras, the state-run oil company . “It is a big challenge for the country.
The engineering shortage here is spreading across industries. The lack of civil and construction engineers threatens infrastructure projects; areas like banking, aircraft manufacture, petrochemicals and metals are all competing for the same top graduates. In the booming oil and gas industries, companies are turning to foreign labor because there are not enough qualified Brazilians to go around.
“Some of our big clients in the oil and gas sector have 40 to 50 job openings and they can’t fill them, said Paulo Pontes, managing director of Michael Page International, a leading headhunting firm. “When we asked companies what the careers of the future were, seven out of 10 of them were in engineering. That shows the reality of what is happening today.
That reality is leading thousands of Brazilian companies into the education business. Some teach basic literacy and arithmetic to janitors and manual workers. Other more advanced courses help factory and production line workers better understand math, science and composition. And major companies are increasing the amount of on-the-job training they give to engineers and professionals.
“We are planning to invest $11 billion this year and $60 billion over the next five years just in organic growth projects, said Maria Gurgel, director of human resources planning and compensation at Vale, one of the world’s largest mining companies. “The people behind these projects are geologists and engineers whose specialties are in ports, railways and mines. Those are the areas where we have shortages. We need to give them specialized training. It would be difficult to grow without them, she said.
Today, companies like Vale, Petrobras, and the petrochemical firm Ultrapar spend millions of dollars on their own training programs. A typical program is like the one at Embraer, one of the largest manufacturers of aircraft. Embraer builds private and commercial jets that seat from six to 122 people. The company created a program that selects the country’s best engineering graduates and puts them through an 18-month specialization course. They already have a base in disciplines like electronics, mechanics or design.
Julio Franco, executive vice president for organizational development and personnel, said the company spends $45,000 training each student.
“I have no doubt it pays off, he said. “It gives us enormous peace of mind.
The Brazilian government is less serene. One official said he believed that shortages were limited to certain sectors and could be overcome in the short term by hiring retirees and foreign workers. But the medium- and long-term prognosis is more problematic, said Nelson Barbosa, the secretary of economic monitoring at the finance ministry.
“As growth increases, those solutions will run out and it will be crucial to increase and invest in education,” Mr. Barbosa said.
The problem is that Brazil’s educational system is in disarray. In the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development’s tests of academic performance given every three years to 15-year-olds in 57 nations, Brazilian students finished fourth from the bottom in science and third from the bottom in math.
The average Brazilian worker has six years of schooling, compared with 10 years in South Korea, 11 in Japan and 12 in the United States and Europe, according to the National Confederation of Industry study.
The graduates who succeed are in demand. Big companies have the money to hire or train them. Midlevel firms are not as lucky.
“We had to reduce the size of our company, said Marcos Coelho, president of the administrative council at Esteio, an engineering firm that conducts topographic studies. “If we had more people we’d be growing much quicker.”